Power Rankings

TWC NHL Power Rankings 2021–22: Week 25

After a few weeks of quiet on the TWC NHL Power Rankings, there is much more movement in Week 25. A jumbling of the top five teams, mixed in with a few rising teams to buy some stock in. Combine that with a few teams potentially showing their true colours close to the playoffs, and things continue to be spicy just a few weeks until the end of the regular season.

TWC Power Rankings explained

If you’re new to our power rankings, this is how it all works.

Here at TWC, we use a statistical model to effectively rank teams on a week to week basis. The model takes into effect winning percentages, CF%, SCF%, HDCF% as well as SV%. Each statistical category is weighed and scored differently, giving each team a unique TWC Score that determines their ranking after each week. The formula puts the highest emphasis on winning percentages over other statistics. All numbers are taken in all situations, to incorporate special teams into the fray.

We got some excellent feedback over the course of last season from our readers as to how we could improve this model moving forward. We have slightly altered the weightings of the statistical categories, but also added a large recency component to make sure that each week the teams that are riding hot streaks are more appropriately demonstrated in the rankings.

Don’t like where your team is ranked? Unfortunately, they will have to turn it around on the ice, as we take zero personal opinions into effect.

Have any suggestions for the TWC Power Rankings for next season? Leave us a comment and let us know. Without further ado, this week’s power rankings are below!


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Week 25 NHL Power Rankings

RankChangeTeamTeam NameLast WeekRecordTWCScore
1
Florida Panthers4-0-048-15-6790.4
2+1
Colorado Avalanche3-0-049-14-6779.8
3-1
Carolina Hurricanes2-1-145-16-8770.9
4+1
Toronto Maple Leafs3-0-044-19-5767.2
5-1
Calgary Flames0-2-140-19-9757.4
6
Tampa Bay Lightning2-0-143-18-7755.1
7+1
Boston Bruins2-1-043-20-5748.7
8-1
Pittsburgh Penguins1-2-041-19-10740.9
9
Minnesota Wild3-0-143-20-5735.6
10+1
New York Rangers2-1-144-20-6713.9
11-1
Los Angeles Kings2-1-138-23-10713.4
12+2
Edmonton Oilers4-0-040-25-5705.4
13
Dallas Stars3-1-039-26-3705.2
14-2
Washington Capitals0-2-037-22-10694.4
15+1
St Louis Blues3-0-138-20-10692.7
16-1
Nashville Predators1-1-039-25-4686.1
17
Vegas Golden Knights3-0-039-28-4683.8
18
Winnipeg Jets1-2-033-27-10657
19+1
New York Islanders4-0-032-27-9651.2
20-1
Vancouver Canucks0-2-132-28-10643.9
21
San Jose Sharks0-3-029-31-8625.1
22+1
Anaheim Ducks1-2-128-31-12615.3
23-1
Columbus Blue Jackets0-3-032-32-5608.5
24
New Jersey Devils0-2-124-39-6604.7
25+2
Ottawa Senators2-1-025-37-6586.4
26-1
Detroit Red Wings0-2-126-34-9584.7
27+1
Buffalo Sabres2-1-125-34-11579.5
28-2
Chicago Blackhawks0-3-124-35-11579.4
29+1
Seattle Kraken2-2-022-41-6566.2
30-1
Philadelphia Flyers1-2-022-36-11565
31
Montreal Canadiens1-2-019-39-11533.8
32
Arizona Coyotes2-2-022-42-5522.7

The Florida Panthers retain the number one spot this week in a decisive manner. Winners of four in a row and officially the first team to clinch a playoff spot, the Panthers have widened their margin in the Atlantic Division enough to have lots of comfort over their final 13 games. The real question remains, can they stay up on the Carolina Hurricanes and who will their first round matchup be?

Not to be outdone, the Colorado Avalanche officially have the most points in the NHL after going 3–0–0 last week. They were able to widen the TWCScore this week over the Hurricanes, and give themselves back the second overall position. The Avalanche are going to win the Western Conference, and give the WC2 team an absolute heck of a time in the first round. Imagine fighting that hard to slip into the playoffs, only to run into the Avalanche? Tough times in the west. 

As mentioned, the Hurricanes fell to third this week after a 2–1–1 week. Nothing to worry about at all here, just two other undefeated teams that took the cake this time. 

The Toronto Maple Leafs also won four games in a row after a perfect 3–0–0 week. That was enough to jump them into second place in the Atlantic for the time being. They are tied with the Tampa Bay Lightning in points, but hold more ROW. Could the Leafs be looking at home ice advantage in the first round?

The Calgary Flames laid an absolute egg last week, going 0–2–1. The only team in the top thirteen in our list to not win a game. Cause for concern? Sure. Their losses were a bit messy and Jacob Markstrom looked unlike himself. That being said, they still have some of the best underlying numbers in the league which keeps them afloat at number five this week. 

Moving down the list, the Boston Bruins and Pittsburgh Penguins swapped the seventh and eighth spots. The same can be said of the New York Rangers and Los Angeles Kings who did the ol’ switcheroo as well at tenth and eleventh.

The hottest team on our list belongs to the Edmonton Oilers who went a perfect 4–0–0 to jump two spots into the twelfth position. The Oilers have been in the shadow of the Flames for most of the second half of the season, but they are 7–2–1 in their last ten games and now just sit four points back of Calgary, albeit with the Flames having two games in hand. Who knows how this team will hold up in the playoffs, but right now they are looking like a threat. 

The biggest losers last week were the Washington Capitals who went 0–2–0. The Caps have been falling down the standings the last few weeks, and although they are safely in the playoff picture, they are bound to face the best team in the East come round one. A problem waiting to happen.

Other notables from last week’s rankings:

  • The Vegas Golden Knights have now won five straight games and are currently sitting in a playoff spot. Imagine if the team can sneak in and activate all of their players? Guess that WC2 matchup may not be as one sided as initially stated.
  • The Ottawa Senators jumped two spots this week to 25th, after going 2–1–0. Potentially trending in the right direction?

Past Power Rankings

Check here for how teams have done over past weeks and stay tuned for upcoming power rankings. Note: Week 11 was skipped and combined with Week 12 due to a lack of games.

Week 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24

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