With the regular season inching closer and closer towards playoffs, the push for playoff spots and home-ice advantage heats up. This week’s TWC NHL Power Rankings helps separate the contenders from the pretenders. Read on to find out where your team ended up last week.
TWC Power Rankings explained
If you’re new to our power rankings, this is how it all works.
Here at TWC, we use a statistical model to effectively rank teams on a week to week basis. The model takes into effect winning percentages, CF%, SCF%, HDCF% as well as SV%. Each statistical category is weighed and scored differently, giving each team a unique TWC Score that determines their ranking after each week. The formula puts the highest emphasis on winning percentages over other statistics. All numbers are taken in all situations, to incorporate special teams into the fray.
We got some excellent feedback over the course of last season from our readers as to how we could improve this model moving forward. This year we have slightly altered the weightings of the statistical categories, but also re-worked the recency component to make sure that each week the teams that are riding hot streaks are more appropriately demonstrated in the rankings.
Don’t like where your team is ranked? Unfortunately, they will have to turn it around on the ice, as we take zero personal opinions into effect.
Have any suggestions for the TWC Power Rankings for next season? Leave us a comment and let us know. Without further ado, this week’s power rankings are below!
Week 14 NHL Power Rankings
|Rank||Change||Team||Team Name||Last Week||Recor||TWCScore|
|3||+2||New Jersey Devils||3-0-0||28-12-3||770.2|
|4||+3||Tampa Bay Lightning||3-0-0||27-13-1||767.0|
|6||-3||Toronto Maple Leafs||1-2-0||26-11-7||734.8|
|7||-3||Vegas Golden Knights||1-1-0||28-14-2||728.4|
|10||+1||New York Rangers||2-1-0||24-13-7||719.8|
|13||-4||Los Angeles Kings||2-1-0||25-15-6||706.9|
|18||+3||New York Islanders||1-1-1||23-18-3||657.7|
|24||–||Detroit Red Wings||2-1-0||18-16-7||621.0|
|25||-2||St Louis Blues||1-2-0||21-20-3||619.7|
|26||+1||San Jose Sharks||1-2-0||13-23-8||591.6|
|29||+1||Columbus Blue Jackets||1-2-0||13-27-2||527.2|
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Week 14 Highlights
After 14 weeks, it’s two unsurprising faces jockeying for the number one spot. This week, the Boston Bruins maintain the top spot, posting a 1-1-0 record. Their dominance throughout the season has been impressive, so impressive that this was actually the first time all year they’ve lost a game in regulation on home ice. Regardless of that loss, the Bruins’ sustained dominance puts them squarely in first place.
That leaves the Carolina Hurricanes in the second spot. Considering the incredible run they’ve been on, it seems impossible they aren’t in the top spot, but that just speaks to the Bruins’ dominance this season. The New Jersey Devils round out the top three, and look to be returning to form after a weaker stretch of play where losses started piling up. They and the third ranked Tampa Bay Lightning each posted 3-0-0 records to move on up the standings this week.
Rounding out the top five are the Winnipeg Jets. While some may discount the Jets’ resurgent season as just a reflection of their elite goaltending so far, they’re also over 50% in terms of Corsi, high-danger chances, and scoring chances.
Another noteworthy team is the Seattle Kraken. Quietly on one of the league’s best runs, they just completed an undefeated seven game road trip, and look to be well on their way to finishing in the top two positions of the Pacific Division. This transacted into a five position climb this week. The Kraken may not be dominant in any one stat the model values, but they’re solid in all of them, and are rewarded for their recent results.
With so many teams on the rise, it was the Toronto Maple Leafs and Vegas Golden Knights who slid out of the top five. Both teams continue to show very well in the underlying metrics, but with such a close league, posting middling records as these teams did is going to hurt you in the power rankings.
The biggest climber of the week, on the other hand., were the Florida Panthers, They rose six spots on the back of a 2-1-0 week. With a playoff spot looking more and more difficult to achieve every day, expect a continued push out of the Panthers to close out the year. With the high-profile offseason move the team made in acquiring Matthew Tkachuk, expectations were certainly higher than this heading into the year.
Further down the rankings, the Philadelphia Flyers had a strong week. Although they generally struggle with chance-creation and possession, their strong week was rewarded by the model as they posted three wins and no losses.
Finally, a nod to the Arizona Coyotes, who lost four games and won none this week. The playoff battle may be a pipe dream now, but in the battle to draft Connor Bedard first overall, they are well on their way, with only three teams currently possessing better lottery odds than them. For Coyotes fans, the two spots they slid down the rankings this week is actually good news in the long run.
Past 2022–23 Power Rankings
Check here for how teams have done over past weeks and stay tuned for upcoming power rankings.