In Week Six of the TWC Power Rankings, there’s a new number one team, and the rest of the pack was full of excitement too. With teams rising and falling by as many as ten places, it’s another interesting week in the power rankings. Let’s see where every team landed.
TWC Power Rankings explained
If you’re new to our power rankings, this is how it all works.
Here at TWC, we use a statistical model to effectively rank teams on a week to week basis. The model takes into effect winning percentages, CF%, SCF%, HDCF% as well as SV%. Each statistical category is weighed and scored differently, giving each team a unique TWC Score that determines their ranking after each week. The formula puts the highest emphasis on winning percentages over other statistics. All numbers are taken in all situations, to incorporate special teams into the fray.
We got some excellent feedback over the course of last season from our readers as to how we could improve this model moving forward. This year we have slightly altered the weightings of the statistical categories, but also re-worked the recency component to make sure that each week the teams that are riding hot streaks are more appropriately demonstrated in the rankings.
Don’t like where your team is ranked? Unfortunately, they will have to turn it around on the ice, as we take zero personal opinions into effect.
Have any suggestions for the TWC Power Rankings for next season? Leave us a comment and let us know. Without further ado, this week’s power rankings are below!
Week 6 NHL Power Rankings
|Rank||Change||Team||Team Name||Last Week||Record||TWCScore|
|2||-1||New Jersey Devils||3-0-0||15-3-0||922.9|
|3||–||Vegas Golden Knights||1-1-1||14-4-1||805.2|
|8||+3||Toronto Maple Leafs||2-0-1||10-5-4||729.9|
|10||–||New York Rangers||1-0-1||9-6-4||718.6|
|13||+1||Tampa Bay Lightning||3-0-0||11-6-1||690.5|
|14||-6||New York Islanders||1-2-0||11-8-0||676.5|
|16||-10||Los Angeles Kings||1-2-1||11-8-2||674.1|
|20||+10||St Louis Blues||4-0-0||9-8-0||623.2|
|21||-4||Detroit Red Wings||2-0-1||9-5-4||611.2|
|22||+1||San Jose Sharks||1-2-0||6-11-3||611.0|
|27||+4||Columbus Blue Jackets||3-1-0||7-10-1||576.3|
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Week 6 Highlights
The Boston Bruins went undefeated in week six, moving up one place from last week in the process. In every metric the model considers in these rankings, the Bruins are ranked in the top six, but what really sets them apart is their league-best save percentage. On top of strong possession and chance creation metrics, they have had incredible goaltending from Linus Ullmark, leading to an amazing team save percentage of 92.9%.
In a very close second place are the New Jersey Devils, who were also undefeated in week six. It feels wrong for the Devils to drop a spot while on a twelve-game win streak, but it’s so close between them and the Bruins for the top spot. The Devils’ very-good-but-not-elite save percentage is holding them back in the eyes of the model.
The Vegas Golden Knights retained third place, despite posting a 1–1–1 record for the week. Their dominant underlying numbers and Pacific Division leading 14–4–1 record were enough to keep them well within the top five, even with an average record for the week.
Moving up one spot from last week are the Carolina Hurricanes. The Hurricanes are top of the league in terms of Corsi, and have the second best scoring chance for percentage in the league. Combine that with a 10–5–3 record on the year, it’s no wonder they seem to always find themselves in the top five of these rankings.
Last of the top five are the Winnipeg Jets. The Jets have been a big surprise this year, and while it helps to have arguably the best goalie in the world in Connor Hellebuyck stopping pucks at a 0.935 rate, it’s not only goaltending leading to the Jets’ success. They also have the sixth best scoring chance for share in the league helping contribute tot their impressive 10–5–1 record.
Elsewhere in the league, their were some big changes. The St. Louis Blues leapt up ten spots to 20th after posting an impressive 4–0–0 record this week. They look to be turning things around after a surprisingly poor start to the season.
Another team that saw a big improvement in their ranking was the Calgary Flames, who climbed up seven spots to 12th after a 2–1–0 week. Impressively, the Flames made this jump despite a league-worst save percentage as their underlying numbers elsewhere from goaltending were enough to push them up.
These big jumps up the standings unfortunately means others had to fall though, and this week’s biggest loser was the Los Angeles Kings. They collected three out of a possible eight points on the week, and slid as a result. Interestingly, the Kings are doing well in every category the model considers except team save percentage, which can turn around in a hurry given how unpredictable goalies tend to be. It wouldn’t be a surprise to see the Kings quickly rise back up these rankings.
Another team sliding down the rankings are the Montreal Canadiens. Although their 9–8–1 record is still much better than what most people predicted for them before the season, the lost twice and won once this week. Combined with poor possession and chance creation numbers, a fall was inevitable.
Wrapping up with the battle for last place, the Arizona Coyotes took the unfortunate title this week, after losing the one game they played. With their poor recent record and some truly dismal underlying stats, the Coyotes are right where they belong in last place. Hopefully for fans of the Coyotes their poor season translates into the best shot at drafting Connor Bedard at the next draft lottery.
Past 2022–23 Power Rankings
Check here for how teams have done over past weeks and stay tuned for upcoming power rankings.