Power Rankings

TWC 2022 NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs Power Rankings: Week 3

Welcome back to the TWC Playoff Power Rankings!

Here at TWC, we use a statistical model to effectively rank teams on a week to week basis. The model takes into effect winning percentages, CF%, SCF%, HDCF% as well as SV%. Each statistical category is weighed and scored differently, giving each team a unique TWC Score that determines their ranking after each week. The formula puts the highest emphasis on winning percentages over other statistics. All numbers are taken in all situations, to incorporate special teams into the fray.

We got some excellent feedback from our readers as to how we could improve this model moving forward. We have slightly altered the weightings of the statistical categories, but also added a large recency component to make sure that each week the teams that are riding hot streaks are more appropriately demonstrated in the rankings.

Don’t like where your team is ranked? Unfortunately, they will have to turn it around on the ice, as we take zero personal opinions into effect.

Have any suggestions for the TWC Playoff Power Rankings? Leave us a comment and let us know!

RankChange*TeamTeam NameLast WeekRecordTWCScore
Colorado Avalanche2-16-11204.1
Tampa Bay Lightning3-07-31042.4
Carolina Hurricanes2-16-41009.7
Edmonton Oilers2-16-41000.6
Calgary Flames1-25-5996.4
St Louis Blues1-25-4966
Florida Panthers0-34-5891.1
New York Rangers1-25-5876.6
Weekly change numbers edited to reflect only the eight remaining teams

Power Ranking Notables

The second round is off and running so far with some surprising results.

The Colorado Avalanche retain their first overall position this week for the third time this postseason. No one else has quite shown the chops to take over first yet, although the St. Louis Blues did hand them their first loss. This series has been a bit of an up and down so far. The Avs squeaked out an overtime win in Game 1 after almost getting goalied by Jordan Binnington. The Blues took Game 2 quite easily actually, before losing Game 3 and Binnington to injury. It’s hard to say this series is over by any stretch, but will be fascinating to see the trajectory of both teams.

The Tampa Bay Lightning are absolutely rolling. Moving up six spots this week, the Lightning have gone from surviving Game 7 against the Toronto Maple Leafs to absolutely feasting on the Florida Panthers. A 3–0 series lead, and a chance to close things out, they’re on track for quite the accomplishment. Not sure anyone saw this start to the series coming. The Panthers do not look like the Panthers we have seen all season, while the Lightning are up to their old tricks yet again. 

The Carolina Hurricanes moved up three spots to place third on our list. After taking a 2–0 series lead over the New York Rangers, the Canes continued their streak of winning at home and losing on the road. Now a 2–1 series, it’s still hard not to root for the Canes. With Fredrik Andersen making the trip to NYC, you wonder how much longer the team will wait before having their number one goaltender back.

Last but not least, the Battle of Alberta has been nothing short of spectacular. After a 15-goal Game 1, and a comeback win by the Edmonton Oilers in Game 2, the Oilers fired on all cylinders last night to take a 2–1 series lead. Connor McDavid has been otherworldly this season, and the Calgary Flames have just had no answer to him so far. A huge and pivotal Game 4 goes tomorrow night. 

What are your thoughts? Are you surprised where your team landed this week? Let us know at @wincolumnblog.

All data courtesy of Natural Stat Trick.

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