While the Calgary Flames stumbled a bit and could not beat the Colorado Avalanche last night, their prospects continue to soar. Dustin Wolf picked up his 29th win of the season while teammate Matthew Phillips broke an all-time Heat record. Jakob Pelletier is the top rookie in the AHL in scoring, and is just shy of breaking a couple records of his own.
Matthew Coronato was knocked out of the Frozen Four, but he finished as Harvard’s top scorer this year ahead of numerous top prospects. On top of all this, Rory Kerins cracked the 100 point mark in the OHL. So much to dive into, let’s get into it!
Welcome to the TWC Calgary Flames prospect update. Each week, we’ll take a dive into how the Flames’ prospects have done in their respective leagues. We have defined a prospect as a skater who has played fewer than 65 NHL games, and is younger than 25 years of age. All data is from QuantHockey and EliteProspects. We also use an NHLe calculator built by Christian Roatis (@Croatis) which is used to estimate a player’s equivalent point total in the NHL based on how they are performing in their respective league. The calculator uses the difficulty of the given league combined with the ease at which a player puts up points to determine the NHLe.
Want to see where all the Flames’ prospects are playing this year? Check out our map visualization here.
Ryan Francis – Saint John Sea Dogs (QMJHL)
Ryan Francis has had a very odd season this year. He had a heck of a training camp and even earned himself an amateur tryout with the Stockton Heat. However, he struggled to make an impact on a very deep Heat team and was sent back to Saint John for the remainder of the season. No surprises there.
When he was sent back, the expectation was that he would light up the QMJHL as an over-ager on a very good Sea Dogs side, but his season started off slower than expected. On top of that, he seemed disengaged for stretches, unable to really exert himself on the ice.
About three weeks ago, that changed substantially. And since then, Francis has been on an absolute tear. Since the beginning of March, Francis has 18 points in his last 12 games, and added five points this week. Take a look at two of his three goals here:
Barring something catastrophic happening, Francis will be joining the Stockton Heat next season, and will be looking to make a name for himself in California. Do not expect him to have a Jakob Pelletier-esque rookie season though. He is expected to be a bit more of a project prospect despite his point totals this year. He will likely need a couple seasons in Stockton to really develop.
However, if he does develop into the player that many expect he will, he projects to be a high energy bottom-six player with high offensive upside. Think a Paul Byron-esque forward. With the Flames losing Byron once, here’s hoping they get some redemption down the road with Francis.
This and that
- While teammate Yan Kuznetsov continues to be injured, Jeremie Poirier continues to put points on the board. He added another goal this week. Take a look here:
- An absolute bomb for Poirier who showed off his incredible skating skills on that goal.
- No points this week for Cam Whynot in Halifax.
- We have some news on Cole Huckins. Thanks to Pat McNeil, it appears the forward may be back with the team soon:
- This is really good news. Huckins’ disappearance did not appear to be by choice, which made it look like something was very wrong in Acadie. Hopefully he’s able to rejoin the Titan as they push for the playoffs.
- As we discussed last week, both Notre Dame and Harvard faced very difficult tests after being invited to play in the Frozen Four playoffs. Both teams were eliminated by Minnesota State Mankato this week, Harvard in the first round and Notre Dame in the second.
- Matt Coronato picked up two assists in Harvard’s loss while Jake Boltmann went pointless.
- Ilya Nikolayev just can’t be stopped. He put up two more goals and added another assist this week for Tri-City. He will likely be in Stockton next season.
- Arseni Sergeev picked up another win and saw his numbers inch up yet again this week.
- He’s third in the USHL in save percentage to this point, but has played three times as many games as the two goalies ahead of him.
- Rory Kerins just won’t stop scoring. The Soo Greyhound picked up three goals and added an assist to bring his point total to 102 on the season. Take a look:
- He is just so good at finding his spot in front of the net! Expect him to be back in Stockton next season.
- Not to be outdone, Jack Beck added a goal and an assist for the Ottawa 67’s. Take a look at his goal here:
- The Stockton Heat went 2–0–0 this week, picking up wins over Abbotsford and San Diego.
- They were led by Luke Philp of all people, who put up three goals and an assist. He is an impending free agent for the Heat at the end of this season.
- Glenn Gawdin and Jakob Pelletier each added a goal and an assist while Matthew Phillips has just one assist. That assist broke the Heat’s all time single season record for points with 58.
- Phillips is seventh in the AHL in points while Pelletier is ninth. The latter leads all rookies in points in the AHL, although he has played substantially more games than Matias Maccelli in Tuscon.
- Pelletier also leads the Heat in goals, and is one back of breaking the single-season goal record of 27. It’s worth remembering that he is still a rookie this season, and is two points back of the Heat’s rookie scoring record.
- Martin Pospisil (2 assists), Justin Kirkland (1 goal, 2 assists), Connor Zary (1 goal, 1 assist), and Connor Mackey (2 assists) all had multi-point weeks.
- One player who has not featured much for Stockton has been Johannes Kinnvall. While he has been a very good power play quarterback, he has been less good at 5v5. I wouldn’t be surprised if he went back to Sweden at the end of the season.
- Finally, Dustin Wolf featured in one game again this week and picked up a win. He sits third in save percentage in the league, and fifth in games played.
- That win was his 29th of the season. The last rookie goalie to hit that many in a season was Juuse Saros in 2015–16.
- Lucas Feuk and Vasby IK are through to the next round of the HockeyEttan playoffs. He has a goal and three assists through the playoffs.
- William Stromgren and Rogle’s J-20 side are through to the next round of the playoffs as well, although in a different league. He had a goal and an assist in two games.
- Daniil Chechelev did not get into any games this week.
- Lucas Ciona is still injured to this point.
- Cole Jordan had one assist this week for Moose Jaw. The Warriors are a very good side, and it’s great to see Jordan in the lineup, but do not take much from his performances this season. Between illness and injury, Jordan will likely look much better next year.
NHLe is a metric used to estimate a player’s offensive output at the NHL level from their point totals in their respective league. Here are the Flames’ current top 5 (bracketed numbers denote movement from the previous week)
- Adam Ruzicka (AHL) 51.4 (Same)
- Matthew Phillips(AHL): 44.6(Same)
- Rory Kerins (OHL): 44.5 (Same)
- Jakob Pelletier (AHL) 40.6(+1)
- Glenn Gawdin (AHL): 34.7 (-1)
Overall regular season totals for all Flames prospects
|Jack Beck||LW/RW||30||17||19||36||1.2||10||32.0||Ottawa 67’s||OHL|
|Lucas Ciona||LW||49||17||15||32||0.7||77||16.1||Seattle Thunderbirds||WHL|
|Matthew Coronato||RW||34||18||18||36||1.1||14||24.3||Harvard Crimsons||NCAA|
|Walker Duehr||RW||46||9||10||19||0.4||22||17.1||Stockton Heat||AHL|
|Mathias Emilio Pettersen||C/LW||46||8||11||19||0.4||16||16.7||Stockton Heat||AHL|
|Lucas Feuk||C/W||10||1||1||2||0.2||0||N/A||Vasterviks IK||HockeyAllsvenskan|
|Ryan Francis||RW/C||4||0||0||0||0||0||0||Stockton Heat||AHL|
|RW/C||39||17||30||47||1.2||32||28.2||St John Sea Dogs||QMJHL|
|Glenn Gawdin||C/RW||52||13||32||45||0.9||71||34.7||Stockton Heat||AHL|
|Cole Huckins||C||28||12||13||25||0.9||51||20.7||Acadie Bathurst Titans||QMJHL|
|Rory Kerins||C/LW||61||39||63||102||1.7||34||44.5||Soo Greyhounds||OHL|
|Justin Kirkland||C/W||53||16||20||36||0.7||65||27.1||Stockton Heat||AHL|
|Demetrios Koumontzis||LW||23||4||7||11||0.5||18||N/A||Arizona State Sun Devils||NCAA|
|Mitchell Mattson||C||23||1||2||3||0.1||16||3.5||Michigan State Spartans||NCAA|
|Ilya Nikolayev||C||48||20||40||60||1.3||65||27.7||Tri-City Storm||USHL|
|Josh Nodler||C/RW||36||7||8||15||0.4||4||11.5||Michigan State Spartans||NCAA|
|Jakob Pelletier||C/LW||54||26||29||55||1.0||22||40.6||Stockton Heat||AHL|
|Matthew Phillips||C/RW||52||25||33||58||1.1||16||44.6||Stockton Heat||AHL|
|Luke Philp||C/RW||53||21||18||39||0.7||10||29.5||Stockton Heat||AHL|
|Martin Pospisil||C/W||35||7||12||19||0.5||65||21.5||Stockton Heat||AHL|
|Adam Ruzicka||C||15||10||8||18||1.3||2||51.4||Stockton Heat||AHL|
|William Stromgren||LW||46||14||24||38||0.7||18||N/A||Rogle BK J20||J20 Nationell|
|LW||1||1||2||3||3.0||0||N/A||Rogle BK||Champions HL|
|Eetu Tuulola||RW||48||11||10||21||0.4||42||17.5||Stockton Heat||AHL|
|Connor Zary||C||43||9||12||21||0.5||28||19.5||Stockton Heat||AHL|
|Dmitri Zavgorodniy||W/C||10||0||1||1||0.1||4||4.0||Stockton Heat||AHL|
|Jake Boltmann||RHD||40||1||12||13||0.3||28||9.0||Notre Dame||NCAA|
|Cole Jordan||LHD||29||1||7||8||0.3||34||6.9||Moose Jaw Warriors||WHL|
|Johannes Kinnvall||RHD||13||0||7||7||0.6||0||21.5||Stockton Heat||AHL|
|Yan Kuznetsov||LHD||12||0||0||0||0||0||0||Stockton Heat||AHL|
|LHD||19||2||6||8||0.4||8||10.2||St John Sea Dogs||QMJHL|
|Connor Mackey||LHD||52||5||31||36||0.7||79||27.5||Stockton Heat||AHL|
|Jeremie Poirier||LHD||53||13||35||48||0.9||36||21.2||St. John Sea Dogs||QMJHL|
|Colton Poolman||LHD||49||0||11||11||0.2||16||8.8||Stockton Heat||AHL|
|Ilya Solovyov||LHD||44||3||3||6||0.1||18||5.6||Stockton Heat||AHL|
|Cameron Whynot||LHD||43||4||13||17||0.4||46||9.3||Halifax Mooseheads||QMJHL|
|Daniil Chechelev||G||28||3.52||0.897||12-10-5||1||Kansas City Mavericks||ECHL|
|Tyler Parsons||G||0||0||0||0-0-0||0||Stockton Heat||AHL|
|Arseni Sergeev||G||35||1.90||0.924||26-6-1||6||Tri-City Storm||USHL|
|Dustin Wolf||G||38||2.30||0.925||29-5-3||0||Stockton Heat||AHL|
Want to know more?
Still want to know more about the Flames prospects? Check out our interviews with a number of prospects down below:
Which prospects are you most excited about? Let us know below in the comments or on social media.