The fifth annual TWC Calgary Flames Over/Under Predictions contest closed for submissions this weekend when the Flames kicked off their regular season. With a new team roaring to go, the Flames are looking to put themselves right into Stanley Cup contention. We had a large number of Flames fans submit predictions to our poll, and there were some distinct trends in the answers.
Here are the results from past seasons:
Here’s how the results of this year’s poll broke down.
|Prediction||Mark||Consensus||Over %||Under %|
|Jonathan Huberdeau Assists||69.5||Over||79%||21%|
|Nazem Kadri Goals||24.5||Over||86%||14%|
|Elias Lindholm Goals||37.5||Over||86%||14%|
|Tyler Toffoli Goals||27.5||Under||43%||57%|
|Mikael Backlund CF%||52.5||Over||79%||21%|
|Andrew Mangiapane Goals||29.5||Over||79%||21%|
|Dillon Dube Points||39.5||Under||43%||57%|
|Milan Lucic Hits||199.5||Under||29%||71%|
|Blake Coleman Points||37.5||Over||79%||21%|
|Kevin Rooney Shorthanded Points||0.5||Over||71%||29%|
|Trevor Lewis Points||14.5||Under||29%||71%|
|Brett Ritchie Goals||4.5||Under||35%||65%|
|Nikita Zadorov Hits||184.5||Over||79%||21%|
|Chris Tanev Blocks||149.5||Over||93%||7%|
|Noah Hanifin Points||47.5||Over||57%||43%|
|Rasmus Andersson Points||47.5||Over||64%||36%|
|Juuso Valimaki Games Played||19.5||Under||14%||86%|
|Oliver Kylington Points||34.5||Over||57%||43%|
|MacKenzie Weegar Powerplay Points||19.5||Over||100%||0%|
|Michael Stone Games Played||29.5||Under||43%||57%|
|Jacob Markstrom Starts||59.5||Over||57%||43%|
|Daniel Vladar Wins||10.5||Over||86%||14%|
|Team Double Digit Goal Scorers||8.5||Over||79%||21%|
|Team Longest Winning Streak||6.5||Over||79%||21%|
|Team Division Finish (Lower is better)||1.5||Under||57%||43%|
|Team Number of All Stars||1.5||Over||79%||21%|
|Team Total Wins||49.5||Over||93%||7%|
|Team Wins against Oilers||1.5||Over||71%||29%|
Most lopsided overs
MacKenzie Weegar Powerplay Points: Over 19.5 points
- This was the only unanimous result with every respondent predicting a ton of production from MacKenzie Weegar. The Flames’ newest top-four blueliner is expected to play heavy minutes on the powerplay, and hitting 20 points seems like a no-brainer.
Team Total Wins: Over 49.5
- Again people are very optimistic about this season for the Calgary Flames. Nearly everyone expects the Flames to hit 50 wins this season, and with all the new additions to the lineup, it’s easy to see why. The Flames were exceptional last season, and there is little to believe that this season won’t be the same.
Chris Tanev Blocks: Over 149.5
- This one was really interesting. Over 90% of respondents felt that Tanev would clear the 150 blocks mark, which he did this past season with 158. Interestingly, he has only crossed the 150 block mark twice in the last six seasons, and only time will tell if he passes it again this year.
Most lopsided unders
Juuso Valimaki games played: Under 19.5
- This was a fascinating one, with most respondents making their selection prior to him being claimed by the Arizona Coyotes this past weekend. There looked to be little chance he would earn a look at the NHL level again with the Flames, but with Arizona’s blueline the way it is, there is a really good chance he plays a bunch of NHL games this season. He might be the over in the unlikeliest of ways and not at all what the original number was meant to represent!
Milan Lucic Hits: Under 199.5
- This one was interesting. Most people estimated Lucic would hit less than 200 hits despite him having 209 last season and over 200 in every season that he played more than 70 games since 2013-14. Barring an injury, it’s hard to see him not hitting that mark.
Trevor Lewis points: Under 14.5
- The Flames have a lot of options at the bottom of their lineup, and it looks like most respondents see Lewis as the odd man out. 15 points is not an enormous bar to hit in 82 games, but if he ends up playing closer to half the season, the odds of him hitting that number go down.
On your marks
The over/unders are set. Hockey is back to full-tilt in the NHL. We’ll see over time how each threshold fares and if any marks are reached. Good luck to everyone who submitted, and to the Flames as they seek to get back into the playoffs.
Photo by Brett Holmes/Icon Sportswire