Calgary Flames 2021–22 Over/Under Recap

The Calgary Flames wrapped up their regular season last night. It was an incredible season both as a team and for most players individually, but the real work begins in just a few days’ time: the playoffs. The Flames’ first round opponent will be the Dallas Stars, a rematch from the first round in 2020.

The season has already been a huge success. The Flames outperformed expectations in almost every way, which was a nice change from one year ago which saw the team fail to make the playoffs. However, many are looking to the postseason as the true indicator of success this season, despite the numerous records set and broken throughout the year.

Back in October prior to the start of the season, TWC polled Flames fans about how the Flames and various players would perform in the 2021-22 season. There were 28 questions, each about a different individual or team statistic.

Let’s see how everyone did!

Calgary Flames Over Under Predictions

First off, this is how fans responded to the various questions before the season began.

Most questions had a decent split with only a few were heavily skewed heavily towards the over or under side. Coming off a truly disappointing campaign in 2021 and with fans questioning a lot of the moves made in the offseason, there were conflicting opinions on how the Flames would do this season.

Calgary Flames over under results

The results after a rough season skewed almost exclusively towards the under side of the line.

It was a mixed bag this year. Some of the lines we set were extremely good, and others were extremely bad (sorry Nikita Zadorov). Overall, respondents were correct in 20 categories and incorrect in the other eight.

Biggest hits

Brad Richardson Points: 19.5, Milan Lucic Points: 24.5 – UNDER

We may have overestimated how well Richardson would do this season. With just four points in 28 games, he was an easy under. Lucic actually got very close to his line of 24.5, finishing with 21 points on the season. The line was set just slightly too high.

Success Rate: 94% and 84% respectively

Andrew Mangiapane Goals: 22.5 – OVER

It was amazing to see so many fans predict another step forward for Mangiapane. With a whopping 35 goals on the season, he smashed his line of 22.5.

Success Rate: 71%

Noah Hanifin Points: 34.5 – OVER

A banner year for Hanifin that saw him put up a career-high 48 points. His previous high was just 33 points, so not only did he beat his line which was already predicting a new career mark for Hanifin, he surpassed it in a big way.

Success Rate: 71%

Biggest misses

Sean Monahan Goals: 19.5 – UNDER

Monahan had a season that everyone would like to forget. He was ineffective for the entire season before being shut down to undergo hip surgery, and he just didn’t have what it took to score at a high level this year. He ended the season with eight goals, a huge miss from the line set at 19.5. However, the vast majority of respondents thought he would hit the 20 goal mark once again.

Success Rate: 19%

Chris Tanev Blocks: 164.5 – UNDER

This line was set perfectly. Tanev was a solid shot blocker for this team the whole season, especially on the penalty kill, and finished just under the line with 158 blocks. It was the fourth most blocks of his career.

Success Rate: 35%

Dan Vladar Wins: 9.5 – OVER

Vladar did an admirable job as Jacob Markstrom’s backup this season, putting forward an excellent rookie season for the Flames. He finished with 13 wins, much higher than the line set at 9.5.

Success Rate: 39%


The winner

Congratulations to Mark Senger for guessing the most correct over/unders. With a whopping 23 out of 28 guessed correctly, your optimism paid off.

Thanks to everyone who participated. Stay tuned for next season’s over/under predictions poll!

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