Road to the Smythe: NHL Playoff Player Rankings – Week 5

Welcome to Week 5 of the TWC Postseason Player Rankings: Road to the Smythe! Here at TWC, we use a statistical model to effectively rank players on a week to week basis. The model takes into effect individual statistics including goals and assists, as well as possession metrics like CF%, SCF%, HDCF%, and a correction for PDO. Each statistical category is weighed and scored differently, giving each player a unique TWC Score that determines their ranking after each week. Don’t like where someone is ranked? Unfortunately, they will have to turn it around on the ice, as we take zero personal opinions into effect.

Have any suggestions for the TWC Player Rankings? Leave us a comment and let us know!

Note: Rankings are updated up to games ending Sunday May 12. Stay tuned for Week 6 updates.

Top 20 Forwards

RankChangeTeamPlayerTWC Score
1S.JTomas Hertl1038.7
2+5S.JLogan Couture884.2
3+9S.JTimo Meier864.9
4+5BOSPatrice Bergeron837.2
5+1BOSBrad Marchand824.4
6+2BOSDavid Pastrnak773.7
7+4STLJaden Schwartz766.4
8+8CARSebastian Aho715.0
9+14BOSCharlie Coyle704.0
10+3CARTeuvo Teravainen686.9
11+11STLVladimir Tarasenko681.1
12+5S.JEvander Kane678.8
13+16BOSJake Debrusk670.5
14+12BOSDavid Krejci642.5
15NEWS.JJoe Pavelski635.2
16+9S.JKevin Labanc622.4
17+3CARWarren Foegele603.2
18NEWSTLRyan O’Reilly594.7
19NEWSTLDavid Perron593.5
20NEWCARJustin Williams581.2

Forwards Notables

With four teams remaining, the list of Conn Smythe candidates drastically reduced. However, one player still stands out among the masses as the front runner. Tomas Hertl remains atop the rankings, his impact growing more gargantuan with every game. He’s joined by teammates Logan Couture and Timo Meier, who have both dominated the ice as well.

Not to be forgotten, Boston’s top trio of Patrice Bergeron, Brad Marchand, and David Pastrnak have been running roughshod, maintaining possession and generating many more quality chances for than against.

Due to Boston’s two routings of the Hurricanes, a few other players have risen considerably with their on-ice impacts, such as Charlie Coyle, Jake DeBrusk, and David Krejci.

One notable forward here would be Jaden Schwartz, whose playoff performance has far exceeded his regular season play.

Ultimately, Hertl runs away with the race for the Smythe. His impact on getting the Sharks to where they are right now can not be understated. After all, without Hertl, the Sharks would have been out after the first round. Talk about being valuable.

Top 10 Defencemen

RankChangeTeamPlayerTWC Score
1S.JBrent Burns735.8
2S.JErik Karlsson602.7
3+2STLAlex Pietrangelo527.8
4+2CARDougie Hamilton484.5
5+6BOSTorey Krug476.8
6+1CARJaccob Slavin467.1
7+3CARJustin Faulk467.0
8NEWS.JMarc-Edouard Vlasic438.5
9+3BOSCharlie McAvoy428.5
10+10STLVince Dunn422.1

Defencemen Notables

The Sharks’ duo of Brent Burns and Erik Karlsson remain in a league of their own. Burns still looks dominant through the first games of the Western Final, whereas Karlsson has taken a bit of a step back.

Again, like their forwards, some of Boston’s defencemen have been beneficiaries of the outburst to open their series. Torey Krug and Charlie McAvoy both gained a bit of ground in the race.

Matching teammate Hertl as the runaway forward candidate, Burns has established a large lead among defencemen. He’s been a driver from the blueline, and has played a large part in the Sharks’ playoff success.

Goalies

RankChangeTeamPlayerTWC Score
1BOSTuukka Rask632.9
2+2CARCurtis McElhinney513.2
3+4S.JMartin Jones368.8
4+4STLJordan Binnington360.2
5+4S.JAaron Dell357.5
6CARPetr Mrazek298.9

Goalies Notables

No other goalie has performed as well as Tuukka Rask has this late into the post-season. He’s been largely above average in every aspect of his game, and has made things easier for his teammates. From the net out, the Bruins aren’t holding onto their sticks too tightly, and have opened up their chances at winning the Stanley Cup.

Also have to mention that Curtis McElhinney’s stepped up at the right time, given Mrazek’s injury and slight drop-off. If the Hurricanes make a comeback, a large reason for that would be how solid McElhinney’s been in his role.

Lastly, credit must be given to Martin Jones as well, who’s struggles have greatly diminished as the playoffs have gone on. His reliability has steadily increased for the most part, and going into the last few games of the playoffs, his resurgence is exactly what the Sharks will need to advance further in their vie for the Cup.


What are your thoughts? Are you surprised where your favourite players landed this week? Let us know at @wincolumnblog.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s